Whatever Happened to the H1N1 Flu Predictions?
In the midst of the frenzy surrounding the H1N1 pandemic, in October, I asked you to take a deep breath, and promised you that we would get through. I shared with you information that lead me to believe, it was not going to be the predicted pandemic. And now mid-January, H1N1 has fallen off the media’s reporting radar, and from most of our thoughts.
As predicted by Purdue University mathematicians, the infections peaked in late October. There were reported projections that 90,000-300,000 people would die and over 30 million would be infected. Now, a recent ABC news report question if the media coverage “oversold” the swine flu pandemic. Again, while it appears to represent pandemic means an infection has appeared in several countries. It has nothing to do with the number of people infected.
The study reported an analysis conducted at Harvard University and the Medical Research Council in England. A new analysis, examining H1N1 deaths in the US in the spring found a typical or possibly even milder flu season than average, should’ve been projected. Projected likely outcomes, demonstrated a typical – or possibly even a milder flu season than average (which this one appears to have been), should’ve been expected.
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